Personality the key in picking winning stocks: Qiao Ma

Qiao Ma says her stock pitch for the Sohn Hearts & Minds Conference on Friday belongs to an industry that will “make people cringe”. That isn’t deliberate but it will prove her point that management trumps all else.

David Rogers

Personality the key in picking winning stocks: Qiao Ma

November 8, 2020
Qiao Ma says her stock pitch for the Sohn Hearts & Minds Conference on Friday belongs to an industry that will “make people cringe”. That isn’t deliberate but it will prove her point that management trumps all else.
Read Transcript

Qiao Ma says her stock pitch for the Sohn Hearts & Minds Conference on Friday belongs to an industry that will “make people cringe”.

That isn’t deliberate but it will prove her point that management trumps all else.

“We don’t always have to pick a stock in an industry that we think has massive tailwinds,” the Harvard-trained portfolio manager of Cooper Investors Asian Equities says.

“Even in a really challenged industry, if you are just the best-in-class — a star athlete — you’re going to be awesome. But I’m not out to pick a fight, I just happen to think it’s an awesome stock.”

It’s a big part of the investment philosophy adopted by the founder of the $11.9bn fund manager — Peter Cooper — when he started the company 20 years ago.

The premise of that philosophy — tested in long-only equity strategies across many different markets — starts with the observation that everyone runs the same models and does the same kind of analysis.

That poses the question: what value can an active manager bring to the table and how can they make money if everyone has the same idea and the same information?

“In many ways, we believe the edge actually lies in the human beings themselves,” Ma says.

“If you have two companies that do the same thing in the same industry, what sets them apart is the people that run them. What we’ve learnt about different markets is pretty mind-boggling.

“Most bottom-up analysts would agree that management is critically important, but Cooper Investors aims to understand the people at the top and what drives them at a deeper level.

“What’s their personality, their motivation ... there are a lot of different things that come from drilling into management,” says Ma. “We look at their life experiences, their choices, their friends, what they do in good times and bad times — not just in business but also on a personal level.”

If management does something that hurts the outlook for a stock owned by Cooper Investors, it will typically exit.

Interestingly, the Melbourne fund manager has found that while this philosophy works well in efficient markets like the Western markets, it works even better in the less efficient markets.

“The less efficient the market is, the better this works, because there’s a lot of information disadvantage, and in the Asia fund which I run, you have this interesting dynamic,” Ma says.

“Think about an Australian company, where you have a person with very high passion, drive and integrity, and they own 30 per cent of the business, and his competitors are run by professional teams with very professional boards — they might not be as ambitious, motivated or creative as the first person, but they are still pretty solid people making rational decisions.

When you take the same analogy to Asia, you have the same entrepreneurial, driven, passionate person of integrity, but his competitors are state-owned enterprises, or in some cases, moms and pops that basically just appoint the founder’s aunties and uncles into various positions.

“It’s much easier to beat them. That’s really why, when you find a team, or a founder who fits all the criteria that Cooper Investors sets — then when these guys compete, it’s like running a hot knife through butter.”

In fact she sees a “massive consolidation story in Asia” and “plenty of market share to gain”. Even in China she maintains management is key.

“There are definitely industries, like telecoms and banks, where it’s obvious that the government doesn’t want other businesses to go in, so as a private investor we wouldn’t touch those sectors.

“But there are plenty of industries in which the government lets private business flourish.

“The industries where we invest in China include the technology, consumer and healthcare sectors, where private businesses are left to flourish and there are no really dominant state-owned enterprises.” Cooper Investors tends to have the conviction to hold on to the stocks in its portfolio and potentially buy more through downturns.

“Clearly a lot of things happened in the last two years, but macro matters even less today,” Ma says.

“I can give you 10 examples of where not only a country’s economic growth rate doesn’t matter, but not only that, the industry growth doesn’t matter when you have the best-in-class company.

“So the demarcation between individual performance and all these macroeconomic things in the bigger picture that we all love talking about, has never been greater.

“We are looking at star athletes and, frankly, I don’t care which industry they’re in.

“The trade war, COVID — despite these, the star actually performs much better because they manage this crisis so much better than their competitors.”

Ma grew up in China and went to school in the US before attending Harvard Business School, then starting her career in investment banking and working for a hedge fund in New York.

She knows what best-in-class looks like because she sat across the table from some of the best.

“Today I can put together a portfolio of 40 Asian companies that I consider to be best-in-class managers — not just in China or Asia, actually at a global standard, whereas 10 years ago I couldn’t. If you look at these best-in-class management teams we find most of them have one or two senior executives who have a very deep, Western education or work experience, and are mostly natives.”

This article was originally posted on The Australian here.

Licensed by Copyright Agency. You must not copy this work without permission.

Qiao Ma says her stock pitch for the Sohn Hearts & Minds Conference on Friday belongs to an industry that will “make people cringe”.

That isn’t deliberate but it will prove her point that management trumps all else.

“We don’t always have to pick a stock in an industry that we think has massive tailwinds,” the Harvard-trained portfolio manager of Cooper Investors Asian Equities says.

“Even in a really challenged industry, if you are just the best-in-class — a star athlete — you’re going to be awesome. But I’m not out to pick a fight, I just happen to think it’s an awesome stock.”

It’s a big part of the investment philosophy adopted by the founder of the $11.9bn fund manager — Peter Cooper — when he started the company 20 years ago.

The premise of that philosophy — tested in long-only equity strategies across many different markets — starts with the observation that everyone runs the same models and does the same kind of analysis.

That poses the question: what value can an active manager bring to the table and how can they make money if everyone has the same idea and the same information?

“In many ways, we believe the edge actually lies in the human beings themselves,” Ma says.

“If you have two companies that do the same thing in the same industry, what sets them apart is the people that run them. What we’ve learnt about different markets is pretty mind-boggling.

“Most bottom-up analysts would agree that management is critically important, but Cooper Investors aims to understand the people at the top and what drives them at a deeper level.

“What’s their personality, their motivation ... there are a lot of different things that come from drilling into management,” says Ma. “We look at their life experiences, their choices, their friends, what they do in good times and bad times — not just in business but also on a personal level.”

If management does something that hurts the outlook for a stock owned by Cooper Investors, it will typically exit.

Interestingly, the Melbourne fund manager has found that while this philosophy works well in efficient markets like the Western markets, it works even better in the less efficient markets.

“The less efficient the market is, the better this works, because there’s a lot of information disadvantage, and in the Asia fund which I run, you have this interesting dynamic,” Ma says.

“Think about an Australian company, where you have a person with very high passion, drive and integrity, and they own 30 per cent of the business, and his competitors are run by professional teams with very professional boards — they might not be as ambitious, motivated or creative as the first person, but they are still pretty solid people making rational decisions.

When you take the same analogy to Asia, you have the same entrepreneurial, driven, passionate person of integrity, but his competitors are state-owned enterprises, or in some cases, moms and pops that basically just appoint the founder’s aunties and uncles into various positions.

“It’s much easier to beat them. That’s really why, when you find a team, or a founder who fits all the criteria that Cooper Investors sets — then when these guys compete, it’s like running a hot knife through butter.”

In fact she sees a “massive consolidation story in Asia” and “plenty of market share to gain”. Even in China she maintains management is key.

“There are definitely industries, like telecoms and banks, where it’s obvious that the government doesn’t want other businesses to go in, so as a private investor we wouldn’t touch those sectors.

“But there are plenty of industries in which the government lets private business flourish.

“The industries where we invest in China include the technology, consumer and healthcare sectors, where private businesses are left to flourish and there are no really dominant state-owned enterprises.” Cooper Investors tends to have the conviction to hold on to the stocks in its portfolio and potentially buy more through downturns.

“Clearly a lot of things happened in the last two years, but macro matters even less today,” Ma says.

“I can give you 10 examples of where not only a country’s economic growth rate doesn’t matter, but not only that, the industry growth doesn’t matter when you have the best-in-class company.

“So the demarcation between individual performance and all these macroeconomic things in the bigger picture that we all love talking about, has never been greater.

“We are looking at star athletes and, frankly, I don’t care which industry they’re in.

“The trade war, COVID — despite these, the star actually performs much better because they manage this crisis so much better than their competitors.”

Ma grew up in China and went to school in the US before attending Harvard Business School, then starting her career in investment banking and working for a hedge fund in New York.

She knows what best-in-class looks like because she sat across the table from some of the best.

“Today I can put together a portfolio of 40 Asian companies that I consider to be best-in-class managers — not just in China or Asia, actually at a global standard, whereas 10 years ago I couldn’t. If you look at these best-in-class management teams we find most of them have one or two senior executives who have a very deep, Western education or work experience, and are mostly natives.”

This article was originally posted on The Australian here.

Licensed by Copyright Agency. You must not copy this work without permission.

Disclaimer: This material has been prepared by The Australian, published on Nov 08, 2020. HM1 is not responsible for the content of linked websites or content prepared by third party. The inclusion of these links and third-party content does not in any way imply any form of endorsement by HM1 of the products or services provided by persons or organisations who are responsible for the linked websites and third-party content. This information is for general information only and does not consider the objectives, financial situation or needs of any person. Before making an investment decision, you should read the relevant disclosure document (if appropriate) and seek professional advice to determine whether the investment and information is suitable for you.

facebook
linkedin
All
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
March 18, 2024

13 stocks Munro is backing for the long-term

Nick Griffin’s formula for double-digit returns (plus 13 stocks Munro is backing for the long-term). With rates set to come down and AI the future of everything, growth stocks are sure to rally.

Read More
March 7, 2024

The breakdown on Q4 Earnings Season: the team talk Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta and other portfolio holdings

In this episode of Invest in the Journey, Kieran Moore of Munro Partners is joined by Munro's investment analysts to discuss the key takeaways from Q4 earning season.

Read More
March 6, 2024

Reporting Season | What You Need To Know

Previous 2023 Conference Fund Manager, Catherine Allfrey of WaveStone Capital recently joined the Finding Alpha podcast to discuss her views post Reporting Season.

Read More
February 26, 2024

Chipping away at the semiconductor market

In a recent episode of In The Know, the team at Magellan discuss the outlook for the Semiconductor chip industry covering many stocks in HM1's portfolio including their recommended stock for our core portfolio.

Read More
February 8, 2024

Aussie Mining Giant Skyrocketed 26% for 17 Years: What's Next?

Fraser Christie from TDM Growth Partners recently joined the Equity Mates podcast to discuss Mineral Resources Limited (MRL).

Read More
Kristo Käärmann. Picture: WiseKristo Käärmann. Picture: WiseKristo Käärmann. Picture: WiseKristo Käärmann. Picture: Wise
December 14, 2023

Special Guest Series: Kristo Käärmann

Munro Partners' Founder & CIO Nick Griffin and Partner & Portfolio Manager Kieran Moore sit down with Kristo Käärmann, the Co-Founder and CEO of Wise.

Read More
October 17, 2023

Buy Hold Sell: 3 stalwart stocks (and 2 that no longer make the grade)

2022 Sohn Hearts & Minds Investment Leaders Conference Fund Managers - Catherine Allfrey and Anthony Aboud join Livewire Markets for a Buy Hold Sell episode.

Read More
September 25, 2023

Tribeca Investment Partners' Liu on Global Markets

Jun Bei Liu, Portfolio Manager at Tribeca Investment Partners recently appeared on Bloomberg to discuss her outlook and investment strategies for global markets ahead of China's golden week.

Read More
September 13, 2023

8 world-leading stocks to play 3 of investing's most pressing mega-trends

Munro Partners' Chief Investment Officer, Nick Griffin recently appeared in a session at Livewire Live to answer a handful of crucial investor questions on Artificial intelligence Cloud computing, and the energy transition.

Read More
August 29, 2023

Munro Partners on stage at the Global Growth roadshow

Munro Partners' Chief Investment Officer, Nick Griffin and Portfolio Manager Qiao Ma recently presented at the Global Growth roadshow hosted by GSFM.

Read More
August 4, 2023

Regal's ultimate guide to microcap investing in 2023

Join Jessica Farr-Jones, Portfolio Manager at Regal Funds Management (HM1 Core Fund Manager), on Livewire Markets 'The Rules of Investing' podcast to hear about the world of microcaps.

Read More
July 31, 2023

CommSec TV: Jun Bei Liu of Tribeca Investment Partners

Jun Bei Liu of Tribeca Investment Partners (Core and Conference Fund Manager), speaks with Tom Piotrowski of CommSec about the factors influencing the market and company profits ahead of reporting season.

Read More
July 28, 2023

The only ASX stock with a return on equity of over 50%

Chief Investment Officer at Auscap Asset Management and HM1 Conference Fund Manager, Tim Carleton joins "The Rules of Investing" podcast hosted by Livewire Markets.

Read More
July 25, 2023

Behind the screens: The evolution of streaming services and the investment case for Netflix

In this intriguing episode Magellan’s Portfolio Manager, Arvid Streimann, and Sector Head of Finance and Technology, Ryan Joyce, dive deep into the dynamic world of streaming services.

Read More
July 25, 2023

GSFM Conversations: Climate Change Investment Opportunities

In a recent podcast, GSFM's CEO Damien McIntyre and James Tsinidis of Munro Partners (Core Fund Manager) tap into investment opportunities presented by climate change and delve into Munro's Climate Change Leaders Fund.

Read More